BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Forest City

Class: 3A Class Rank: 26 Conference: (13-1) Overall: (15-6) Overall Strength =   67.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W    74.84  55   54   3A   10 (19- 6) Webster City            5.50     -4.50                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    L    62.51  54   68   3A    5 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood       -6.83     -7.17                      
  3 12/10/2004 Home    W *  96.07 104   41   2A  118 ( 4-17) Belmond-Klemme         26.72 *   36.28                      
  4 12/14/2004 Away    W *  75.58  72   37   1A  105 ( 7-16) North Iowa              6.24 *   28.76                      
  5 12/17/2004 Home    W *  84.17  90   43   2A  111 ( 8-14) Mason City Newman      14.82 *   32.18                      
  6 12/18/2004 Away    W    64.76  70   63   3A   50 ( 5-17) Estherville LC         -4.59     11.59                      
  7 12/21/2004 Home    L    56.35  46   56   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City            -12.99      2.99                      
  8 01/04/2005 Home    W *  66.61  60   48   2A   64 (17- 6) Lake Mills             -2.73     14.73                      
  9 01/07/2005 Away    W *  73.34  63   37   1A   74 (10-11) Britt West Hancock      4.00     22.00                      
 10 01/08/2005 Away    L    65.80  60   66   3A   20 (19- 5) Clear Lake             -3.54     -2.46                      
 11 01/14/2005 Home    W *  73.58  62   29   2A  110 ( 6-15) Garner-Hayfield         4.23 *   28.77                      
 12 01/15/2005 Home    L    62.90  57   62   3A   21 (13-10) Charles City           -6.44      1.44                      
 13 01/25/2005 Away    L *  63.38  64   67   2A   33 (18- 4) Osage                  -5.97      2.97                      
 14 01/28/2005 Home    W *  54.24  68   51   1A  105 ( 7-16) North Iowa            -15.10 *   32.10                      
 15 01/29/2005 Away    W *  66.41  69   39   2A  118 ( 4-17) Belmond-Klemme         -2.94 *   32.94  was 01/21/05 now ??/??/??
 16 02/04/2005 Away    W *  68.95  61   50   2A   64 (17- 6) Lake Mills             -0.39     11.39                      
 17 02/08/2005 Home    W *  61.00  57   40   1A   74 (10-11) Britt West Hancock     -8.34     25.34                      
 18 02/11/2005 Away    W *  60.92  64   47   2A  110 ( 6-15) Garner-Hayfield        -8.42 *   25.42                      
 19 02/15/2005 Away    W *  63.51  87   64   2A  111 ( 8-14) Mason City Newman      -5.83 *   28.83                      
 20 02/18/2005 Home    W *  95.03  63   31   2A   33 (18- 4) Osage                  25.69      6.31                      
 21 02/28/2005 Away    L    66.24  68   73   3A   21 (13-10) Charles City           -3.10     -1.90                      
      Averages              69.34  66.4 50.8

Best game:   96.07 = 63 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Worst game:  54.24 = 17 point win over Buffalo Center North Iowa
Team stdev:  11.07